Open Access
2012 A Mixed Prediction Model of Ground Subsidence for Civil Infrastructures on Soft Ground
Kiyoshi Kobayashi, Kiyoyuki Kaito
J. Appl. Math. 2012(SI08): 1-20 (2012). DOI: 10.1155/2012/487246


The estimation of ground subsidence processes is an important subject for the asset management of civil infrastructures on soft ground, such as airport facilities. In the planning and design stage, there exist many uncertainties in geotechnical conditions, and it is impossible to estimate the ground subsidence process by deterministic methods. In this paper, the sets of sample paths designating ground subsidence processes are generated by use of a one-dimensional consolidation model incorporating inhomogeneous ground subsidence. Given the sample paths, the mixed subsidence model is presented to describe the probabilistic structure behind the sample paths. The mixed model can be updated by the Bayesian methods based upon the newly obtained monitoring data. Concretely speaking, in order to estimate the updating models, Markov Chain Monte Calro method, which is the frontier technique in Bayesian statistics, is applied. Through a case study, this paper discussed the applicability of the proposed method and illustrated its possible application and future works.


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Kiyoshi Kobayashi. Kiyoyuki Kaito. "A Mixed Prediction Model of Ground Subsidence for Civil Infrastructures on Soft Ground." J. Appl. Math. 2012 (SI08) 1 - 20, 2012.


Published: 2012
First available in Project Euclid: 3 January 2013

Digital Object Identifier: 10.1155/2012/487246

Rights: Copyright © 2012 Hindawi

Vol.2012 • No. SI08 • 2012
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