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October 2004 Dutch book against some `objective' priors
Morris L. Eaton, David A. Freedman
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Bernoulli 10(5): 861-872 (October 2004). DOI: 10.3150/bj/1099579159

Abstract

`Dutch book' and `strong inconsistency' are generally equivalent: there is a system of bets that makes money for the gambler, whatever the state of nature may be. As de Finetti showed, an odds-maker who is not a Bayesian is subject to a Dutch book, under certain highly stylized rules of play - a fact often used as an argument against frequentists. However, so-called `objective' or `uninformative' priors may also be subject to a Dutch book. This note explains, in a relatively simple and self-contained way, how to make Dutch book against a frequently recommended uninformative prior for covariance matrices.

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Morris L. Eaton. David A. Freedman. "Dutch book against some `objective' priors." Bernoulli 10 (5) 861 - 872, October 2004. https://doi.org/10.3150/bj/1099579159

Information

Published: October 2004
First available in Project Euclid: 4 November 2004

zbMATH: 1097.62002
MathSciNet: MR2093614
Digital Object Identifier: 10.3150/bj/1099579159

Keywords: Dutch book , incoherence , Jeffreys prior , Multivariate analysis , objective prior , prediction , strong inconsistency , uninformative prior

Rights: Copyright © 2004 Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability

Vol.10 • No. 5 • October 2004
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