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March 2013 A Bayes Linear Approach to Weight-of-Evidence Risk Assessment for Skin Allergy
John Paul Gosling, Andy Hart, Helen Owen, Michael Davies, Jin Li, Cameron MacKay
Bayesian Anal. 8(1): 169-186 (March 2013). DOI: 10.1214/13-BA807


We introduce a strategy for quantifying and synthesising uncertainty about elements of a risk assessment using Bayes linear methods. We view the population of subjective belief structures and the use of Bayes linear adjustments as a flexible and transparent tool for risk assessors who want to quantify their uncertainty about hazard based on disparate sources of information. For motivation, we use an application of the strategy to human skin sensitisation risk assessment where there are many competing sources of information available.


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John Paul Gosling. Andy Hart. Helen Owen. Michael Davies. Jin Li. Cameron MacKay. "A Bayes Linear Approach to Weight-of-Evidence Risk Assessment for Skin Allergy." Bayesian Anal. 8 (1) 169 - 186, March 2013.


Published: March 2013
First available in Project Euclid: 4 March 2013

zbMATH: 1329.62424
MathSciNet: MR3036258
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/13-BA807

Rights: Copyright © 2013 International Society for Bayesian Analysis


Vol.8 • No. 1 • March 2013
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