December 2024 Estimation of the spectral measure from convex combinations of regularly varying random vectors
Marco Oesting, Olivier Wintenberger
Author Affiliations +
Ann. Statist. 52(6): 2529-2556 (December 2024). DOI: 10.1214/24-AOS2387

Abstract

The extremal dependence structure of a regularly varying random vector X is fully described by its limiting spectral measure. In this paper, we investigate how to recover characteristics of the measure, such as extremal coefficients, from the extremal behaviour of convex combinations of components of X. Our considerations result in a class of new estimators of moments of the corresponding combinations for the spectral vector. We show asymptotic normality by means of a functional limit theorem and, focusing on the estimation of extremal coefficients, we verify that the minimal asymptotic variance can be achieved by a plug-in estimator using subsampling bootstrap. We illustrate the benefits of our approach on simulated and real data.

Funding Statement

The work of MO was partially supported by Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG, German Research Foundation) under Germany’s Excellence Strategy—EXC 2075—390740016.
OW acknowledges the support of the French Agence Nationale de la Recherche (ANR) under reference ANR20-CE40-0025-01 (T-REX project).

Acknowledgements

The authors are grateful to three anonymous referees and an Associate Editor for their valuable comments and suggestions.

The second author is also affiliated with Wolfgang Pauli Institut, c/o Fakultät für Mathematik, Universität Wien.

Citation

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Marco Oesting. Olivier Wintenberger. "Estimation of the spectral measure from convex combinations of regularly varying random vectors." Ann. Statist. 52 (6) 2529 - 2556, December 2024. https://doi.org/10.1214/24-AOS2387

Information

Received: 1 July 2023; Revised: 1 April 2024; Published: December 2024
First available in Project Euclid: 18 December 2024

Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/24-AOS2387

Subjects:
Primary: 62G32
Secondary: 62G30

Keywords: Asymptotic statistics , extremal coefficient , moment estimator , multivariate extremes

Rights: Copyright © 2024 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Vol.52 • No. 6 • December 2024
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