Open Access
May 2012 Statistical Modeling of Spatial Extremes
A. C. Davison, S. A. Padoan, M. Ribatet
Statist. Sci. 27(2): 161-186 (May 2012). DOI: 10.1214/11-STS376


The areal modeling of the extremes of a natural process such as rainfall or temperature is important in environmental statistics; for example, understanding extreme areal rainfall is crucial in flood protection. This article reviews recent progress in the statistical modeling of spatial extremes, starting with sketches of the necessary elements of extreme value statistics and geostatistics. The main types of statistical models thus far proposed, based on latent variables, on copulas and on spatial max-stable processes, are described and then are compared by application to a data set on rainfall in Switzerland. Whereas latent variable modeling allows a better fit to marginal distributions, it fits the joint distributions of extremes poorly, so appropriately-chosen copula or max-stable models seem essential for successful spatial modeling of extremes.


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A. C. Davison. S. A. Padoan. M. Ribatet. "Statistical Modeling of Spatial Extremes." Statist. Sci. 27 (2) 161 - 186, May 2012.


Published: May 2012
First available in Project Euclid: 19 June 2012

zbMATH: 1330.86021
MathSciNet: MR2963980
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/11-STS376

Keywords: Annual maximum analysis , Bayesian hierarchical model , Brown–Resnick process , Composite likelihood , copula , environmental data analysis , Gaussian process , generalized extreme-value distribution , Geostatistics , latent variable , Max-stable process , statistics of extremes

Rights: Copyright © 2012 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Vol.27 • No. 2 • May 2012
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