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2017 Copulas and long memory
Rustam Ibragimov, George Lentzas
Probab. Surveys 14(none): 289-327 (2017). DOI: 10.1214/14-PS233

Abstract

This paper focuses on the analysis of persistence properties of copula-based time series. We obtain theoretical results that demonstrate that Gaussian and Eyraud-Farlie-Gumbel-Morgenstern copulas always produce short memory stationary Markov processes. We further show via simulations that, in finite samples, stationary Markov processes, such as those generated by Clayton copulas, may exhibit a spurious long memory-like behavior on the level of copulas, as indicated by standard methods of inference and estimation for long memory time series. We also discuss applications of copula-based Markov processes to volatility modeling and the analysis of nonlinear dependence properties of returns in real financial markets that provide attractive generalizations of GARCH models. Among other conclusions, the results in the paper indicate non-robustness of the copula-level analogues of standard procedures for detecting long memory on the level of copulas and emphasize the necessity of developing alternative inference methods.

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Rustam Ibragimov. George Lentzas. "Copulas and long memory." Probab. Surveys 14 289 - 327, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1214/14-PS233

Information

Received: 1 March 2014; Published: 2017
First available in Project Euclid: 12 December 2017

zbMATH: 06825001
MathSciNet: MR3735284
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/14-PS233

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