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dec 2006 Efficient estimation of stochastic volatility using noisy observations: a multi-scale approach
Lan Zhang
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Bernoulli 12(6): 1019-1043 (dec 2006). DOI: 10.3150/bj/1165269149

Abstract

With the availability of high-frequency financial data, nonparametric estimation of the volatility of an asset return process becomes feasible. A major problem is how to estimate the volatility consistently and efficiently, when the observed asset returns contain error or noise, for example, in the form of microstructure noise. The issue of consistency has been addressed in the recent literature. However, the resulting estimator is not efficient. In work by Zhang, Myland and Aït-Sahalia, the best estimator converges to the true volatility only at the rate of n-1/6. In this paper, we propose an estimator, the multi-scale realized volatility (MSRV), which converges to the true volatility at the rate of n-1/4, which is the best attainable. We show a central limit theorem for the MSRV estimator, which permits intervals to be set for the true integrated volatility on the basis of the MSRV.

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Lan Zhang. "Efficient estimation of stochastic volatility using noisy observations: a multi-scale approach." Bernoulli 12 (6) 1019 - 1043, dec 2006. https://doi.org/10.3150/bj/1165269149

Information

Published: dec 2006
First available in Project Euclid: 4 December 2006

zbMATH: 1117.62119
MathSciNet: MR2274854
Digital Object Identifier: 10.3150/bj/1165269149

Keywords: consistency , dependent noise , discrete observation , efficiency , It{ô} process , microstructure noise , observation error , rate of convergence , realized volatility

Rights: Copyright © 2006 Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability

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Vol.12 • No. 6 • dec 2006
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