August 2024 E-statistics, group invariance and anytime-valid testing
Muriel Felipe Pérez-Ortiz, Tyron Lardy, Rianne de Heide, Peter D. Grünwald
Author Affiliations +
Ann. Statist. 52(4): 1410-1432 (August 2024). DOI: 10.1214/24-AOS2394

Abstract

We study worst-case-growth-rate-optimal (GROW) e-statistics for hypothesis testing between two group models. It is known that under a mild condition on the action of the underlying group G on the data, there exists a maximally invariant statistic. We show that among all e-statistics, invariant or not, the likelihood ratio of the maximally invariant statistic is GROW, both in the absolute and in the relative sense, and that an anytime-valid test can be based on it. The GROW e-statistic is equal to a Bayes factor with a right Haar prior on G. Our treatment avoids nonuniqueness issues that sometimes arise for such priors in Bayesian contexts. A crucial assumption on the group G is its amenability, a well-known group-theoretical condition, which holds, for instance, in scale-location families. Our results also apply to finite-dimensional linear regression.

Funding Statement

This work is part of the research program with project number 617.001.651, which is financed by the Dutch Research Council (NWO).

Acknowledgements

We thank Wouter Koolen for useful conversations and for inspiring the example in Section S3.1 of the Supplementary Material (Pérez-Ortiz et al. (2024)).

Peter D. Grünwald is also affiliated with the Mathematical Institute of Leiden University.

Citation

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Muriel Felipe Pérez-Ortiz. Tyron Lardy. Rianne de Heide. Peter D. Grünwald. "E-statistics, group invariance and anytime-valid testing." Ann. Statist. 52 (4) 1410 - 1432, August 2024. https://doi.org/10.1214/24-AOS2394

Information

Received: 1 October 2023; Revised: 1 April 2024; Published: August 2024
First available in Project Euclid: 3 October 2024

Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/24-AOS2394

Subjects:
Primary: 62L10
Secondary: 62B99 , 62F03

Keywords: anytime-valid methods , Bayes factors , e-values , group invariance , right Haar priors

Rights: Copyright © 2024 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Vol.52 • No. 4 • August 2024
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