Open Access
June 2019 Valid confidence intervals for post-model-selection predictors
François Bachoc, Hannes Leeb, Benedikt M. Pötscher
Ann. Statist. 47(3): 1475-1504 (June 2019). DOI: 10.1214/18-AOS1721

Abstract

We consider inference post-model-selection in linear regression. In this setting, Berk et al. [Ann. Statist. 41 (2013a) 802–837] recently introduced a class of confidence sets, the so-called PoSI intervals, that cover a certain nonstandard quantity of interest with a user-specified minimal coverage probability, irrespective of the model selection procedure that is being used. In this paper, we generalize the PoSI intervals to confidence intervals for post-model-selection predictors.

Citation

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François Bachoc. Hannes Leeb. Benedikt M. Pötscher. "Valid confidence intervals for post-model-selection predictors." Ann. Statist. 47 (3) 1475 - 1504, June 2019. https://doi.org/10.1214/18-AOS1721

Information

Received: 1 January 2016; Revised: 1 May 2018; Published: June 2019
First available in Project Euclid: 13 February 2019

zbMATH: 07053515
MathSciNet: MR3911119
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/18-AOS1721

Subjects:
Primary: 62F25
Secondary: 62J05

Keywords: confidence intervals , Inference post-model-selection , Linear regression , nonstandard targets , optimal post-model-selection predictors

Rights: Copyright © 2019 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Vol.47 • No. 3 • June 2019
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