Open Access
January 1999 Particle Representations for Measure-Valued Population Models
Peter Donnelly, Thomas G. Kurtz
Ann. Probab. 27(1): 166-205 (January 1999). DOI: 10.1214/aop/1022677258
Abstract

Models of populations in which a type or location, represented by a point in a metric space $E$, is associated with each individual in the population are considered. A population process is neutral if the chances of an individual replicating or dying do not depend on its type. Measure-valued processes are obtained as infinite population limits for a large class of neutral population models, and it is shown that these measure-valued processes can be represented in terms of the total mass of the population and the de Finetti measures associated with an $E^{\infty}$ -valued particle model $X=(X_1, X_2\ldots)$ such that, for each $t \geq 0,(X_1(t),X_2(t),\ldots)$ is exchangeable. The construction gives an explicit connection between genealogical and diffusion models in population genetics. The class of measure-valued models covered includes both neutral Fleming-Viot and Dawson-Watanabe processes. The particle model gives a simple representation of the Dawson-Perkins historical process and Perkins’s historical stochastic integral can be obtained in terms of classical semimartingale integration. A number of applications to new and known results on conditioning, uniqueness and limiting behavior are described.

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UNITED KINGDOM MADISON, WISCONSIN 53706-1388 E-MAIL: donnelly@stats.ox.ac.uk E-MAIL: kurtz@math.wisc.eduUNITED KINGDOM MADISON, WISCONSIN 53706-1388 E-MAIL: donnelly@stats.ox.ac.uk E-MAIL: kurtz@math.wisc.edu
Copyright © 1999 Institute of Mathematical Statistics
Peter Donnelly and Thomas G. Kurtz "Particle Representations for Measure-Valued Population Models," The Annals of Probability 27(1), 166-205, (January 1999). https://doi.org/10.1214/aop/1022677258
Published: January 1999
Vol.27 • No. 1 • January 1999
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