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March 2008 Discussion of: Statistical analysis of an archaeological find
Randall Ingermanson
Ann. Appl. Stat. 2(1): 84-90 (March 2008). DOI: 10.1214/08-AOAS99G


We critique the analysis by A. Feuerverger of an archaeological find that has been alleged by some to be the tomb of Jesus of Nazareth. We show that his analysis rests on six faulty assumptions that have been severely criticized by historians, archaeologists, and scholars in related disciplines. We summarize the results of an alternative computation using Bayes’ theorem that estimates a probability of less than 2% that the Talpiot tomb belongs to Jesus of Nazareth.


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Randall Ingermanson. "Discussion of: Statistical analysis of an archaeological find." Ann. Appl. Stat. 2 (1) 84 - 90, March 2008.


Published: March 2008
First available in Project Euclid: 24 March 2008

zbMATH: 1282.62259
MathSciNet: MR2415593
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/08-AOAS99G

Keywords: Bayes’ theorem , distribution of names , Jesus of Nazareth , onomasticon , statistical inference , Talpiot tomb

Rights: Copyright © 2008 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Vol.2 • No. 1 • March 2008
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