Discrepancy bounds for uniformly ergodic Markov chain quasi-Monte Carlo

Abstract

Markov chains can be used to generate samples whose distribution approximates a given target distribution. The quality of the samples of such Markov chains can be measured by the discrepancy between the empirical distribution of the samples and the target distribution. We prove upper bounds on this discrepancy under the assumption that the Markov chain is uniformly ergodic and the driver sequence is deterministic rather than independent $U(0,1)$ random variables. In particular, we show the existence of driver sequences for which the discrepancy of the Markov chain from the target distribution with respect to certain test sets converges with (almost) the usual Monte Carlo rate of $n^{-1/2}$.