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February 2019 Gaussian Integrals and Rice Series in Crossing Distributions—to Compute the Distribution of Maxima and Other Features of Gaussian Processes
Georg Lindgren
Statist. Sci. 34(1): 100-128 (February 2019). DOI: 10.1214/18-STS662

Abstract

We describe and compare how methods based on the classical Rice’s formula for the expected number, and higher moments, of level crossings by a Gaussian process stand up to contemporary numerical methods to accurately deal with crossing related characteristics of the sample paths.

We illustrate the relative merits in accuracy and computing time of the Rice moment methods and the exact numerical method, developed since the late 1990s, on three groups of distribution problems, the maximum over a finite interval and the waiting time to first crossing, the length of excursions over a level, and the joint period/amplitude of oscillations.

We also treat the notoriously difficult problem of dependence between successive zero crossing distances. The exact solution has been known since at least 2000, but it has remained largely unnoticed outside the ocean science community.

Extensive simulation studies illustrate the accuracy of the numerical methods. As a historical introduction an attempt is made to illustrate the relation between Rice’s original formulation and arguments and the exact numerical methods.

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Georg Lindgren. "Gaussian Integrals and Rice Series in Crossing Distributions—to Compute the Distribution of Maxima and Other Features of Gaussian Processes." Statist. Sci. 34 (1) 100 - 128, February 2019. https://doi.org/10.1214/18-STS662

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Vol.34 • No. 1 • February 2019
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