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2017 Analysis of Economic Burden of Seasonal Influenza: An Actuarial Based Conceptual Model
S. S. N. Perera
J. Appl. Math. 2017: 1-6 (2017). DOI: 10.1155/2017/4264737

Abstract

Analysing the economic burden of the seasonal influenza is highly essential due to the large number of outbreaks in recent years. Mathematical and actuarial models can be considered as management tools to understand the dynamical behavior, predict the risk, and compute it. This study is an attempt to develop conceptual model to investigate the economic burden due to seasonal influenza. The compartment SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) model is used to capture the dynamical behavior of influenza. Considering the current investment and future medical care expenditure as premium payment and benefit (claim), respectively, the insurance and actuarial based conceptual model is proposed to model the present economic burden due to the spread of influenza. Simulation is carried out to demonstrate the variation of the present economic burden with respect to model parameters. The sensitivity of the present economic burden is studied with respect to the risk of disease spread. The basic reproduction is used to identify the risk of disease spread. Impact of the seasonality is studied by introducing the seasonally varying infection rate. The proposed model provides theoretical background to investigate the economic burden of seasonal influenza.

Citation

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S. S. N. Perera. "Analysis of Economic Burden of Seasonal Influenza: An Actuarial Based Conceptual Model." J. Appl. Math. 2017 1 - 6, 2017. https://doi.org/10.1155/2017/4264737

Information

Received: 15 June 2017; Revised: 26 August 2017; Accepted: 5 September 2017; Published: 2017
First available in Project Euclid: 16 November 2017

zbMATH: 07037476
MathSciNet: MR3714683
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1155/2017/4264737

Rights: Copyright © 2017 Hindawi

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