Abstract
We consider a model of a population of fixed size $N$ in which each individual gets replaced at rate one and each individual experiences a mutation at rate $\mu$. We calculate the asymptotic distribution of the time that it takes before there is an individual in the population with $m$ mutations. Several different behaviors are possible, depending on how $\mu$ changes with $N$. These results have applications to the problem of determining the waiting time for regulatory sequences to appear and to models of cancer development.
Citation
Jason Schweinsberg. "Waiting for $m$ mutations." Electron. J. Probab. 13 1442 - 1478, 2008. https://doi.org/10.1214/EJP.v13-540
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