Open Access
June 2001 On posterior consistency of survival models
Yongdai Kim, Jaeyong Lee
Ann. Statist. 29(3): 666-686 (June 2001). DOI: 10.1214/aos/1009210685


Ghosh and Ramamoorthi studied posterior consistency for survival models and showed that the posterior was consistent when the prior on the distribution of survival times was the Dirichlet process prior. In this paper,we study posterior consistency of survival models with neutral to the right process priors which include Dirichlet process priors. A set of sufficient conditions for posterior consistency with neutral to the right process priors are given. Interestingly, not all the neutral to the right process priors have consistent posteriors, but most of the popular priors such as Dirichlet processes, beta processes and gamma processes have consistent posteriors. With a class of priors which includes beta processes, a necessary and sufficient condition for the consistency is also established. An interesting counter-intuitive phenomenon is found. Suppose there are two priors centered at the true parameter value with finite variances. Surprisingly, the posterior with smaller prior variance can be inconsistent, while that with larger prior variance is consistent.


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Yongdai Kim. Jaeyong Lee. "On posterior consistency of survival models." Ann. Statist. 29 (3) 666 - 686, June 2001.


Published: June 2001
First available in Project Euclid: 24 December 2001

zbMATH: 1012.62105
MathSciNet: MR1865336
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/aos/1009210685

Primary: 62G20
Secondary: 62M05

Keywords: Levy process , neutral to the right process , posterior consistency , Survival model,,,.

Rights: Copyright © 2001 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Vol.29 • No. 3 • June 2001
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