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March 2022 Bounding the local average treatment effect in an instrumental variable analysis of engagement with a mobile intervention
Andrew J. Spieker, Robert A. Greevy, Lyndsay A. Nelson, Lindsay S. Mayberry
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Ann. Appl. Stat. 16(1): 60-79 (March 2022). DOI: 10.1214/21-AOAS1476

Abstract

Estimation of local average treatment effects in randomized trials typically relies upon the exclusion restriction assumption in cases where we are unwilling to rule out the possibility of unmeasured confounding. Under this assumption, treatment effects are mediated through the post-randomization variable being conditioned upon and directly attributable to neither the randomization itself nor its latent descendants. Recently, there has been interest in mobile health interventions to provide healthcare support. Mobile health interventions (e.g., the Rapid Encouragement/Education and Communications for Health, or REACH, designed to support self management for adults with type 2 diabetes) often involve both one-way and interactive messages. In practice, it is highly likely that any benefit from the intervention is achieved both through receipt of the intervention content and through engagement with/response to it. Application of an instrumental variable analysis in order to understand the role of engagement with REACH (or a similar intervention) requires the traditional exclusion restriction assumption to be relaxed. We propose a conceptually intuitive sensitivity analysis procedure for the REACH randomized trial that places bounds on local average treatment effects. Simulation studies reveal this approach to have desirable finite-sample behavior and to recover local average treatment effects under correct specification of sensitivity parameters.

Funding Statement

This research was funded by the National Institutes of Health NIH/NIDDK R01DK100694 and NIH/NIDDK Center for Diabetes Translation Research Pilot and Feasibility Award P30DK092986. Dr. Lyndsay Nelson was supported by a career development award from NIH/NHBLI (K12HL137943).

Acknowledgments

The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.

Citation

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Andrew J. Spieker. Robert A. Greevy. Lyndsay A. Nelson. Lindsay S. Mayberry. "Bounding the local average treatment effect in an instrumental variable analysis of engagement with a mobile intervention." Ann. Appl. Stat. 16 (1) 60 - 79, March 2022. https://doi.org/10.1214/21-AOAS1476

Information

Received: 1 August 2020; Revised: 1 April 2021; Published: March 2022
First available in Project Euclid: 28 March 2022

Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/21-AOAS1476

Keywords: Causal , exclusion restriction , instrumental variables , sensitivity analysis

Rights: Copyright © 2022 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

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Vol.16 • No. 1 • March 2022
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