Open Access
December 2020 On the asymptotic optimality of the comb strategy for prediction with expert advice
Erhan Bayraktar, Ibrahim Ekren, Yili Zhang
Ann. Appl. Probab. 30(6): 2517-2546 (December 2020). DOI: 10.1214/20-AAP1565

Abstract

For the problem of prediction with expert advice in the adversarial setting with geometric stopping, we compute the exact leading order expansion for the long time behavior of the value function. Then, we use this expansion to prove that as conjectured in Gravin, Peres and Sivan (In Proceedings of the Twenty-Seventh Annual ACM-SIAM Symposium on Discrete Algorithms (2016) 528–547, ACM), the comb strategies are indeed asymptotically optimal for the adversary in the case of $4$ experts.

Citation

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Erhan Bayraktar. Ibrahim Ekren. Yili Zhang. "On the asymptotic optimality of the comb strategy for prediction with expert advice." Ann. Appl. Probab. 30 (6) 2517 - 2546, December 2020. https://doi.org/10.1214/20-AAP1565

Information

Received: 1 February 2019; Revised: 1 December 2019; Published: December 2020
First available in Project Euclid: 14 December 2020

Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/20-AAP1565

Subjects:
Primary: 35J60 , 35L02 , 68T05

Keywords: asymptotic expansion , expert advice framework , machine learning , reflected Brownian motion , regret minimization , system of hyperbolic equations

Rights: Copyright © 2020 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Vol.30 • No. 6 • December 2020
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