Statistical Science

Bayesian Thought in Early Modern Detective Stories: Monsieur Lecoq, C. Auguste Dupin and Sherlock Holmes

Joseph B. Kadane

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This paper reviews the maxims used by three early modern fictional detectives: Monsieur Lecoq, C. Auguste Dupin and Sherlock Holmes. It find similarities between these maxims and Bayesian thought. Poe’s Dupin uses ideas very similar to Bayesian game theory. Sherlock Holmes’ statements also show thought patterns justifiable in Bayesian terms.

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Statist. Sci., Volume 24, Number 2 (2009), 238-243.

First available in Project Euclid: 14 January 2010

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Arthur Conan Doyle Edgar Allan Poe Emile Gaboriau odd and even Bayesian Game Theory


Kadane, Joseph B. Bayesian Thought in Early Modern Detective Stories: Monsieur Lecoq, C. Auguste Dupin and Sherlock Holmes. Statist. Sci. 24 (2009), no. 2, 238--243. doi:10.1214/09-STS298.

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