- Bayesian Anal. (2017), 20 pages.
Regularization and Confounding in Linear Regression for Treatment Effect Estimation
This paper investigates the use of regularization priors in the context of treatment effect estimation using observational data where the number of control variables is large relative to the number of observations. First, the phenomenon of “regularization-induced confounding” is introduced, which refers to the tendency of regularization priors to adversely bias treatment effect estimates by over-shrinking control variable regression coefficients. Then, a simultaneous regression model is presented which permits regularization priors to be specified in a way that avoids this unintentional “re-confounding”. The new model is illustrated on synthetic and empirical data.
Bayesian Anal. (2017), 20 pages.
First available in Project Euclid: 11 January 2017
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Hahn, P. Richard; Carvalho, Carlos M.; Puelz, David; He, Jingyu. Regularization and Confounding in Linear Regression for Treatment Effect Estimation. Bayesian Anal., advance publication, 11 January 2017. doi:10.1214/16-BA1044. https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.ba/1484103680
- Supplement to “Regularization and confounding in linear regression for treatment effect estimation”.