The Annals of Statistics

Optimal sequential detection in multi-stream data

Hock Peng Chan

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Abstract

Consider a large number of detectors each generating a data stream. The task is to detect online, distribution changes in a small fraction of the data streams. Previous approaches to this problem include the use of mixture likelihood ratios and sum of CUSUMs. We provide here extensions and modifications of these approaches that are optimal in detecting normal mean shifts. We show how the (optimal) detection delay depends on the fraction of data streams undergoing distribution changes as the number of detectors goes to infinity. There are three detection domains. In the first domain for moderately large fractions, immediate detection is possible. In the second domain for smaller fractions, the detection delay grows logarithmically with the number of detectors, with an asymptotic constant extending those in sparse normal mixture detection. In the third domain for even smaller fractions, the detection delay lies in the framework of the classical detection delay formula of Lorden. We show that the optimal detection delay is achieved by the sum of detectability score transformations of either the partial scores or CUSUM scores of the data streams.

Article information

Source
Ann. Statist., Volume 45, Number 6 (2017), 2736-2763.

Dates
Received: June 2015
Revised: July 2016
First available in Project Euclid: 15 December 2017

Permanent link to this document
https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aos/1513328589

Digital Object Identifier
doi:10.1214/17-AOS1546

Mathematical Reviews number (MathSciNet)
MR3737908

Zentralblatt MATH identifier
06838149

Subjects
Primary: 62G10: Hypothesis testing 62L10: Sequential analysis

Keywords
Average run length CUSUM detectability score detection delay mixture likelihood ratio sparse detection stopping rule

Citation

Chan, Hock Peng. Optimal sequential detection in multi-stream data. Ann. Statist. 45 (2017), no. 6, 2736--2763. doi:10.1214/17-AOS1546. https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aos/1513328589


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