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August 2018 Beating the omega clock: An optimal stopping problem with random time-horizon under spectrally negative Lévy models
Neofytos Rodosthenous, Hongzhong Zhang
Ann. Appl. Probab. 28(4): 2105-2140 (August 2018). DOI: 10.1214/17-AAP1322

Abstract

We study the optimal stopping of an American call option in a random time-horizon under exponential spectrally negative Lévy models. The random time-horizon is modeled as the so-called Omega default clock in insurance, which is the first time when the occupation time of the underlying Lévy process below a level $y$, exceeds an independent exponential random variable with mean $1/q>0$. We show that the shape of the value function varies qualitatively with different values of $q$ and $y$. In particular, we show that for certain values of $q$ and $y$, some quantitatively different but traditional up-crossing strategies are still optimal, while for other values we may have two disconnected continuation regions, resulting in the optimality of two-sided exit strategies. By deriving the joint distribution of the discounting factor and the underlying process under a random discount rate, we give a complete characterization of all optimal exercising thresholds. Finally, we present an example with a compound Poisson process plus a drifted Brownian motion.

Citation

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Neofytos Rodosthenous. Hongzhong Zhang. "Beating the omega clock: An optimal stopping problem with random time-horizon under spectrally negative Lévy models." Ann. Appl. Probab. 28 (4) 2105 - 2140, August 2018. https://doi.org/10.1214/17-AAP1322

Information

Received: 1 October 2016; Revised: 1 March 2017; Published: August 2018
First available in Project Euclid: 9 August 2018

zbMATH: 06974747
MathSciNet: MR3843825
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/17-AAP1322

Subjects:
Primary: 60G40 , 60G51
Secondary: 60G17

Keywords: impatience , Lévy process , Occupation times , Omega clock , Optimal stopping , random discount rate

Rights: Copyright © 2018 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Vol.28 • No. 4 • August 2018
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