Bayesian Analysis

R. A. Fisher on Bayes and Bayes' theorem

John Aldrich

Full-text: Open access

Abstract

Ronald Fisher blieved that "The theory of inverse probability is founded upon an error, and must be wholy rejected." This note describes how Fisher divided responsibility for the error between Bayes and Laplace. Bayes he admired for formulating the problem, producing a solution and then withholding it; Laplace he blamed for promulgating the theory and for distorting the concept of probability to accommodate the theory. At the end of his life Fisher added a refinement: in the Essay Bayes had anticipated one of Fisher's own fiducial arguments.

Article information

Source
Bayesian Anal. Volume 3, Number 1 (2008), 161-170.

Dates
First available: 22 June 2012

Permanent link to this document
http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.ba/1340370565

Digital Object Identifier
doi:10.1214/08-BA306

Mathematical Reviews number (MathSciNet)
MR2383255

Citation

Aldrich, John. R. A. Fisher on Bayes and Bayes' theorem. Bayesian Analysis 3 (2008), no. 1, 161--170. doi:10.1214/08-BA306. http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.ba/1340370565.


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