Open Access
August 2018 Estimating variance of random effects to solve multiple problems simultaneously
Masayo Yoshimori Hirose, Partha Lahiri
Ann. Statist. 46(4): 1721-1741 (August 2018). DOI: 10.1214/17-AOS1600

Abstract

The two-level normal hierarchical model (NHM) has played a critical role in statistical theory for the last several decades. In this paper, we propose random effects variance estimator that simultaneously (i) improves on the estimation of the related shrinkage factors, (ii) protects empirical best linear unbiased predictors (EBLUP) [same as empirical Bayes (EB)] of the random effects from the common overshrinkage problem, (iii) avoids complex bias correction in generating strictly positive second-order unbiased mean square error (MSE) (same as integrated Bayes risk) estimator either by the Taylor series or single parametric bootstrap method. The idea of achieving multiple desirable properties in an EBLUP or EB method through a suitably devised random effects variance estimator is the first of its kind and holds promise in providing good inferences for random effects under the EBLUP or EB framework. The proposed methodology is also evaluated using a Monte Carlo simulation study and real data analysis.

Citation

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Masayo Yoshimori Hirose. Partha Lahiri. "Estimating variance of random effects to solve multiple problems simultaneously." Ann. Statist. 46 (4) 1721 - 1741, August 2018. https://doi.org/10.1214/17-AOS1600

Information

Received: 1 November 2016; Revised: 1 May 2017; Published: August 2018
First available in Project Euclid: 27 June 2018

zbMATH: 06936476
MathSciNet: MR3819115
Digital Object Identifier: 10.1214/17-AOS1600

Subjects:
Primary: 62C12
Secondary: 62F40

Keywords: Adjusted maximum likelihood method , Empirical Bayes , empirical best linear unbiased prediction , linear mixed model , second-order unbiasedness

Rights: Copyright © 2018 Institute of Mathematical Statistics

Vol.46 • No. 4 • August 2018
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