Asymptotic Distribution of Statistics in Time Series

Abstract

Verifiable conditions are given for the validity of formal Edgeworth expansions for the distribution of sums $X_1 + \cdots + X_n$, where $X_i = F(Z_i, \ldots, Z_{i + p - 1})$ and $Z_1, Z_2, \ldots$ is a strict sense stationary sequence that can be written as $Z_j = g(\varepsilon_{j - k}: k \geq 0)$ with an $\operatorname{iid}$ sequence $(\varepsilon_i)$ of innovations. These models include nonlinear functions of ARMA processes $(Z_i)$ as well as certain nonlinear AR processes. The results apply to many statistics in (nonlinear) time series models.