A note on quasi-stationary distributions of birth-death processes and the SIS logistic epidemic



Journal of Applied Probability

A note on quasi-stationary distributions of birth-death processes and the SIS logistic epidemic

Damian Clancy and Philip K. Pollett

Source: J. Appl. Probab. Volume 40, Number 3 (2003), 821-825.

Abstract

For Markov processes on the positive integers with the origin as an absorbing state, Ferrari, Kesten, Martínez and Picco studied the existence of quasi-stationary and limiting conditional distributions by characterizing quasi-stationary distributions as fixed points of a transformation Φ on the space of probability distributions on {1, 2,...}. In the case of a birth-death process, the components of Φ(ν) can be written down explicitly for any given distribution ν. Using this explicit representation, we will show that Φ preserves likelihood ratio ordering between distributions. A conjecture of Kryscio and Lefèvre concerning the quasi-stationary distribution of the SIS logistic epidemic follows as a corollary.

Primary Subjects: 60J27
Secondary Subjects: 60J80
Keywords: Likelihood ratio ordering; stochastic ordering; limiting conditional distribution

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Links and Identifiers

Permanent link to this document: http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.jap/1059060909
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1239/jap/1059060909
Mathematical Reviews number (MathSciNet): MR1993274
Zentralblatt MATH identifier: 02066258

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