Laplace's 1774 Memoir on Inverse Probability
Stephen M. Stigler
Source: Statist. Sci. Volume 1, Number 3
(1986), 359-363.
Abstract
Laplace's first major article on mathematical statistics was published in 1774. It is arguably the most influential article in this field to appear before 1800, being the first widely read presentation of inverse probability and its application to both binomial and location parameter estimation. After a brief introduction, and English translation of this epochal memoir is given.
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Keywords: History; Bayesian; posterior distribution; predictive distribution; optimum estimation; nuisance parameter; double exponential distribution
Full-text: Open access
Links and Identifiers
Permanent link to this document: http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.ss/1177013620
JSTOR: links.jstor.org
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1214/ss/1177013620
Mathematical Reviews number (MathSciNet): MR858515