Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic

Common Knowledge of Rationality in Extensive Games

Boudewijn de Bruin
Source: Notre Dame J. Formal Logic Volume 49, Number 3 (2008), 261-280.

Abstract

We develop a logical system that captures two different interpretations of what extensive games model, and we apply this to a long-standing debate in game theory between those who defend the claim that common knowledge of rationality leads to backward induction or subgame perfect (Nash) equilibria and those who reject this claim. We show that a defense of the claim à la Aumann (1995) rests on a conception of extensive game playing as a one-shot event in combination with a principle of rationality that is incompatible with it, while a rejection of the claim à la Reny (1988) assumes a temporally extended, many-moment interpretation of extensive games in combination with implausible belief revision policies. In addition, the logical system provides an original inductive and implicit axiomatization of rationality in extensive games based on relations of dominance rather than the usual direct axiomatization of rationality as maximization of expected utility

First Page: Show Hide
Primary Subjects: 03B42, 91A18, 91A26
Full-text: Access denied (no subscription detected)
We're sorry, but we are unable to provide you with the full text of this article because we are not able to identify you as a subscriber.
If you have a personal subscription to this journal, then please login. If you are already logged in, then you may need to update your profile to register your subscription. Read more about accessing full-text
Links and Identifiers

Permanent link to this document: http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.ndjfl/1216152550
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1215/00294527-2008-011
Mathematical Reviews number (MathSciNet): MR2428554
Zentralblatt MATH identifier: 1154.91009

References

[1] Asheim, G. B., and M. Dufwenberg, "Admissibility and common belief", Games and Economic Behavior, vol. 42 (2003), pp. 208--34.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1984244
Zentralblatt MATH: 1052.91007
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1016/S0899-8256(02)00551-1
[2] Aumann, R. J., "Backward induction and common knowledge of rationality", Games and Economic Behavior, vol. 8 (1995), pp. 6--19. Nobel Symposium on Game Theory (Björkborn, 1993).
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1315988
Zentralblatt MATH: 0833.90132
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1016/S0899-8256(05)80015-6
[3] Aumann, R. J., "Reply to Binmore", Games and Economic Behavior, vol. 17 (1996), pp. 138--46.
[4] Aumann, R. J., "On the centipede game", Games and Economic Behavior, vol. 23 (1998), pp. 97--105.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1618941
Zentralblatt MATH: 0911.90354
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1006/game.1997.0605
[5] Aumann, R. J., "Interactive epistemology. I. Knowledge", International Journal of Game Theory, vol. 28 (1999), pp. 263--300.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1711434
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1007/s001820050111
Zentralblatt MATH: 0961.91040
[6] Baltag, A., "A logic for suspicious players: Epistemic actions and belief-updates in games", Bulletin of Economic Research, vol. 54 (2002), pp. 1--45.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1883623
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1111/1467-8586.00138
[7] Barwise, J., "An introduction to first-order logic", pp. 5--46 in Handbook of Mathematical Logic, edited by J. Barwise, Elsevier, Amsterdam, 1977.
[8] Basu, K., "Strategic irrationality in extensive games", Mathematical Social Sciences, vol. 15 (1988), pp. 247--60.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR947868
Zentralblatt MATH: 0658.90110
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1016/0165-4896(88)90010-8
[9] Ben-Porath, E., "Rationality, Nash equilibrium and backwards induction in perfect-information games", Review of Economic Studies, vol. 64 (1997), pp. 23--46.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1433544
Zentralblatt MATH: 0890.90184
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.2307/2971739
[10] van Benthem, J., "Games in dynamic-epistemic logic", Bulletin of Economic Research, vol. 53 (2001), pp. 219--48.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1857518
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1111/1467-8586.00133
[11] Bicchieri, C., "Self-refuting theories of strategic interaction: A paradox of common knowledge", Erkenntnis, vol. 30 (1989), pp. 69--85.
[12] Binmore, K., "Rationality and backward induction", Journal of Economic Methodology, vol. 4 (1997), pp. 23--41.
[13] Bonanno, G., "Modal logic and game theory: Two alternative approaches", Risk, Decision, and Policy, vol. 7 (2002), pp. 309--24.
[14] Bonanno, G., "A syntactic characterization of perfect recall in extensive games", Research in Economics, vol. 57 (2003), pp. 201--17.
[15] Brandenburger, A., A. Friedenberg, and H. Keisler, "Admissibility in games", Econometrica, vol. 76 (2008), pp. 307--52.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2388774
[16] Broome, J., and W. Rabinowicz, "Backwards induction in the centipede game", Analysis, vol. 59 (1999), pp. 237--42.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1742621
Zentralblatt MATH: 0943.91502
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1111/1467-8284.00175
[17] de Bruin, B., Explaining Games: On the Logic of Game Theoretic Explanations, Diss., University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, 2004.
[18] de Bruin, B., "Common knowledge of payoff uncertainty in games", Synthese, vol. 163 (2008), pp. 79--97.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2422914
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1007/s11229-007-9275-5
[19] Camerer, C., Behavioral Game Theory: Experiments in Strategic Interaction, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 2003.
Zentralblatt MATH: 1019.91001
[20] Clausing, T., "Doxastic conditions for backward induction", Theory and Decision, vol. 54 (2003), pp. 315--36.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2023457
Zentralblatt MATH: 1069.91013
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1023/B:THEO.0000004258.22525.f4
[21] Dekel, E., and D. Fudenberg, "Rational behavior with payoff uncertainty", Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 52 (1990), pp. 243--67.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1082684
Zentralblatt MATH: 0721.90084
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1016/0022-0531(90)90033-G
[22] Fagin, R., and J. Y. Halpern, "Reasoning about knowledge and probability", Journal of the Association for Computing Machinery, vol. 41 (1994), pp. 340--67.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1369203
Zentralblatt MATH: 0806.68098
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1145/174652.174658
[23] Feinberg, Y., "Subjective reasoning---Dynamic games", Games and Economic Behavior, vol. 52 (2005), pp. 54--93.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2145701
Zentralblatt MATH: 1099.91024
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1016/j.geb.2004.06.001
[24] Feinberg, Y., "Subjective reasoning---Solutions", Games and Economic Behavior, vol. 52 (2005), pp. 94--132.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2145702
Zentralblatt MATH: 1099.91025
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1016/j.geb.2004.06.004
[25] Fudenberg, D., and J. Tirole, Game Theory, The MIT Press, Cambridge, 1991.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1124618
[26] Halpern, J. Y., "Substantive rationality and backward induction", Games and Economic Behavior, vol. 37 (2001), pp. 425--35.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1866185
Zentralblatt MATH: 1027.91011
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1006/game.2000.0838
[27] Kaneko, M., "Epistemic logics and their game theoretic applications: Introduction", Economic Theory, vol. 19 (2002), pp. 7--62.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1878957
Zentralblatt MATH: 0995.03014
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1007/s001990100202
[28] Moulin, H., Game Theory for the Social Sciences. Studies in Game Theory and Mathematical Economics, New York University Press, New York, 1982.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR663188
Zentralblatt MATH: 0626.90095
[29] Osborne, M. J., and A. Rubinstein, A Course in Game Theory, The MIT Press, Cambridge, 1994/1998.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1301776
Zentralblatt MATH: 0789.90092
[30] Pauly, M., "A modal logic for coalitional power in games", Journal of Logic and Computation, vol. 12 (2002), pp. 149--66.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1891711
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1093/logcom/12.1.149
Zentralblatt MATH: 1003.91006
[31] Pauly, M., "Programming and verifying subgame-perfect mechanisms", Journal of Logic and Computation, vol. 15 (2005), pp. 295--316.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2195045
Zentralblatt MATH: 1101.68685
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1093/logcom/exi014
[32] Pietarinen, A.-V., "Propositional logic of imperfect information: Foundations and applications", Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic, vol. 42 (2001), pp. 193--210 (2003).
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2010181
Zentralblatt MATH: 1034.03035
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1305/ndjfl/1063372242
Project Euclid: euclid.ndjfl/1063372242
[33] Rabinowicz, W., "Grappling with the centipede: Defence of backward induction for BI"-terminating games, Economics and Philosophy, vol. 14 (1998), pp. 95--126.
[34] Reny, P. J., "Common knowledge and games with perfect information", pp. 363--69 in Philosophy of Science Association 1988, Vol. 2, 1988.
Zentralblatt MATH: 0830.90139
[35] Reny, P. J., "Common belief and the theory of games with perfect information", Journal of Economic Theory, vol. 59 (1993), pp. 257--74.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1215147
Zentralblatt MATH: 0802.90126
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1006/jeth.1993.1017
[36] Samuelson, L., "Dominated strategies and common knowledge", Games and Economic Behavior, vol. 4 (1992), pp. 284--313.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1155708
Zentralblatt MATH: 0749.90092
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1016/0899-8256(92)90020-S
[37] Sorensen, R., "Paradoxes of rationality", pp. 257--77 in The Handbook of Rationality, edited by A. Mele, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2004.
[38] Stalnaker, R., "Knowledge, belief and counterfactual reasoning in games", Economics and Philosophy, vol. 12 (1996), pp. 133--63.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1715037
[39] Stalnaker, R., "Extensive and strategic forms: Games and models for games", Research in Economics, vol. 53 (1999), pp. 293--319.
[40] von Neumann, J., and O. Morgenstern, Theory of Games and Economic Behavior, Princeton University Press, Princeton, 1944.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR0011937
Zentralblatt MATH: 1112.91002
[41] Wolter, F., "First order common knowledge logics", Studia Logica, vol. 65 (2000), pp. 249--71.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1775430
Zentralblatt MATH: 0963.03024
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1023/A:1005271815356

2013 © University of Notre Dame

Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic

Notre Dame Journal of Formal Logic

Turn MathJax Off
What is MathJax?