Journal of Applied Probability
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Two remarks on Blackwell's theorem

Ehud Lehrer and Eran Shmaya

Source: J. Appl. Probab. Volume 45, Number 2 (2008), 580-586.

Abstract

In a decision problem with uncertainty a decision maker receives partial information about the actual state via an information structure. After receiving a signal, he is allowed to withdraw and gets zero profit. We say that one structure is better than another when a withdrawal option exists if it may never happen that one structure guarantees a positive profit while the other structure guarantees only zero profit. This order between information structures is characterized in terms that are different from those used by Blackwell's comparison of experiments. We also treat the case of a malevolent nature that chooses a state in an adverse manner. It turns out that Blackwell's classical characterization also holds in this case.

Primary Subjects: 46N10, 62C10, 62C20, 91B06, 91B08
Keywords: Blackwell's comparison of experiments; withdrawal option; Bayesian decision problem; minimax

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Links and Identifiers

Permanent link to this document: http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.jap/1214950370
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1239/jap/1214950370
Mathematical Reviews number (MathSciNet): MR2426854
Zentralblatt MATH identifier: 1141.62004

References

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Project Euclid: euclid.aoms/1177729032
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Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1214/lnms/1215453569
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