Journal of Applied Probability

Improving on bold play when the gambler is restricted

Jason Schweinsberg

Source: J. Appl. Probab. Volume 42, Number 2 (2005), 321-333.

Abstract

Suppose that a gambler starts with a fortune in (0,1) and wishes to attain a fortune of 1 by making a sequence of bets. Assume that whenever the gambler stakes an amount s, the gambler's fortune increases by s with probability w and decreases by s with probability 1-w, where w<½. Dubins and Savage showed that the optimal strategy, which they called `bold play', is always to bet min{f,1-f}, where f is the gambler's current fortune. Here we consider the problem in which the gambler may stake no more than ℓ at one time. We show that the bold strategy of always betting min{ℓ,f,1-f} is not optimal if ℓ is irrational, extending a result of Heath, Pruitt, and Sudderth.

Primary Subjects: 91A60
Secondary Subjects: 60G40, 60G42
Keywords: Bold play; red-and-black; gambling; supermartingale

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Links and Identifiers

Permanent link to this document: http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.jap/1118777173
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1239/jap/1118777173
Mathematical Reviews number (MathSciNet): MR2145479
Zentralblatt MATH identifier: 02215295

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