Bernoulli

Integrated volatility and round-off error

Mathieu Rosenbaum
Source: Bernoulli Volume 15, Number 3 (2009), 687-720.

Abstract

We consider a microstructure model for a financial asset, allowing for price discreteness and for a diffusive behavior at large sampling scale. This model, introduced by Delattre and Jacod, consists in the observation at the high frequency n, with round-off error αn, of a diffusion on a finite interval. We give from this sample estimators for different forms of the integrated volatility of the asset. Our method is based on variational properties of the process associated with wavelet techniques. We prove that the accuracy of our estimation procedures is αnn−1/2. Using compensated estimators, limit theorems are obtained.

First Page: Show Hide
Full-text: Access denied (no subscription detected)
We're sorry, but we are unable to provide you with the full text of this article because we are not able to identify you as a subscriber.
If you have a personal subscription to this journal, then please login. If you are already logged in, then you may need to update your profile to register your subscription. Read more about accessing full-text
Links and Identifiers

Permanent link to this document: http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.bj/1251463277
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.3150/08-BEJ170
Mathematical Reviews number (MathSciNet): MR2555195
Zentralblatt MATH identifier: 05815951

References

[1] Aït-Sahalia, Y., Mykland, P.A. and Zhang, L. (2005). How often to sample a continuous time process in the presence of market microstructure noise. Rev. Financial Stud. 18 351–416.
[2] Aldous, D.J. and Eagleson, G.K. (1978). On mixing and stability of limit theorems. Ann. Probab. 6 325–331.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR517416
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1214/aop/1176995577
[3] Andersen, T., Bollerslev, T. and Meddahi, N. (2006). Realized volatility forecasting and market microstructure noise. Working paper.
[4] Bandi, F.M. and Russel, J.R. (2008). Microstructure noise, realized variance and optimal sampling. Rev. Econom. Stud. 75 339–369.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2398721
Zentralblatt MATH: 1138.91394
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1111/j.1467-937X.2008.00474.x
[5] Bandi, F.M., Russel, J.R. and Yang, C. (2006). Realized volatility and option pricing. Working paper.
[6] Barndorff-Nielsen, O., Hansen, P., Lunde, A. and Shephard, N. (2008). Designing realised kernels to measure the ex-post variation of equity prices in the presence of noise. Econometrica 76 1481–1536.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2468558
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.3982/ECTA6495
[7] Barndorff-Nielsen, O.E. and Shephard, N. (2002). Econometric analysis of realized volatility and its use in estimating stochastic volatility models. J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 64 253–280.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1904704
Zentralblatt MATH: 1059.62107
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1111/1467-9868.00336
[8] Delattre, S. (1997). Estimation du coefficient de diffusion d’un processus de diffusion avec erreurs d’arrondi. Ph.D. thesis, University Paris 6.
[9] Delattre, S. and Jacod, J. (1997). A central limit theorem for normalized functions of the increments of a diffusion process, in the presence of round-off errors. Bernoulli 3 1–28.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1466543
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.2307/3318650
Project Euclid: euclid.bj/1178291930
[10] Gayraud, G. and Tribouley, K. (1999). Wavelet methods to estimate an integrated functional: Adaptivity and asymptotic law. Statist. Probab. Lett. 44 109–122.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1706448
[11] Gloter, A. and Jacod, J. (1997). Diffusions with measurement errors, I. Local asymptotic normality, II. Optimal estimators. ESAIM PS 5 225–260.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1875672
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1051/ps:2001110
[12] Gonçalves, S. and Meddahi, N. (2005). Bootstrapping realized volatility. Econometrica. To appear.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2477851
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.3982/ECTA5971
[13] Hansen, P.R. and Lunde, A. (2006). Realized variance and market microstructure noise. J. Bus. Econom. Statist. 24 127–161.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2234447
[14] Jacod, J. (1997). On continuous conditional Gaussian martingales and stable convergence in law. Séminaire de Probabilités (Strasbourg) 31 232–246.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1478732
Zentralblatt MATH: 0884.60038
[15] Jacod, J., Li, Y., Mykland, P.A., Podolskij, M. and Vetter, M. (2007). Microstructure noise in the continuous case: The pre-averaging approach. Working paper.
[16] Jacod, J. and Protter, P. (1998). Asymptotic error distributions for the Euler method for stochastic differential equations. Ann. Probab. 26 267–307.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1617049
Zentralblatt MATH: 0937.60060
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1214/aop/1022855419
Project Euclid: euclid.aop/1022855419
[17] Jacod, J. and Shiryaev, A.N. (2003). Limit Theorems for Stochastic Processes, 2nd ed. New York: Springer.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1943877
[18] Kosulajeff, P. (1937). Sur la répartition de la partie fractionaire d’une variable aléatoire. Mat. Sb. (N.S.) 2 1017–1019.
[19] Large, J. (2006). Estimating quadratic variation when quoted prices change by a constant increment. Working paper.
[20] Li, Y. and Mykland, P. (2006). Determining the volatility of a price process in the presence of rounding errors. Technical Report 573, Univ. Chicago.
[21] Li, Y. and Mykland, P. (2007). Are volatility estimators robust with respect to modeling assumptions? Bernoulli 13 601–622.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2348742
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.3150/07-BEJ6067
Project Euclid: euclid.bj/1186503478
[22] Meddahi, N. (2002). A theoretical comparison between integrated and realized volatility. J. Appl. Econometrics 17 475–508.
[23] Gatheral, J. and Oomen, R. (2007). Zero-intelligence realized variance estimation. Working paper.
[24] Rényi, A. (1963). On stable sequences of events. Sankhyā Ser. A 25 293–302.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR170385
[25] Robert, C.Y. and Rosenbaum, M. (2009). A new approach for the dynamics of ultra high frequency data: The model with uncertainty zone. Working paper.
[26] Robert, C.Y. and Rosenbaum, M. (2009). Volatility and covariation estimation when microstructure noise and trading times are endogenous. Working paper.
[27] Rosenbaum, M. (2008). Estimation of the volatility persistence in a discretly observed diffusion model. Stochastic Process. Appl. 118 1434–1462.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2427046
Zentralblatt MATH: 1142.62055
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1016/j.spa.2007.09.004
[28] Rosenbaum, M. (2007). Étude de quelques problèmes d’estimation statistique en finance. Ph.D. thesis.
[29] Tukey, J.W. (1939). On the distribution of the fractional part of a statistical variable. Mat. Sb. (N.S.) 4 561–562.
[30] Zhang, L. (2006). Efficient estimation of stochastic volatility using noisy observations: A multi-scale approach. Bernoulli 12 1019–1043.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2274854
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.3150/bj/1165269149
Project Euclid: euclid.bj/1165269149
[31] Zhang, L., Mykland, P.A. and Aït-Sahalia, Y. (2005). A tale of two time scales: Determining integrated volatility with noisy high-frequency data. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 100 1394–1411.

2012 © Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability

Bernoulli

Bernoulli

Turn MathJax Off
What is MathJax?