The Annals of Statistics

Spectral estimation of the fractional order of a Lévy process

Denis Belomestny
Source: Ann. Statist. Volume 38, Number 1 (2010), 317-351.

Abstract

We consider the problem of estimating the fractional order of a Lévy process from low frequency historical and options data. An estimation methodology is developed which allows us to treat both estimation and calibration problems in a unified way. The corresponding procedure consists of two steps: the estimation of a conditional characteristic function and the weighted least squares estimation of the fractional order in spectral domain. While the second step is identical for both calibration and estimation, the first one depends on the problem at hand. Minimax rates of convergence for the fractional order estimate are derived, the asymptotic normality is proved and a data-driven algorithm based on aggregation is proposed. The performance of the estimator in both estimation and calibration setups is illustrated by a simulation study.

First Page: Show Hide
Primary Subjects: 62F10
Secondary Subjects: 62J12, 62F25, 62H12
Full-text: Access denied (no subscription detected)
We're sorry, but we are unable to provide you with the full text of this article because we are not able to identify you as a subscriber.
If you have a personal subscription to this journal, then please login. If you are already logged in, then you may need to update your profile to register your subscription. Read more about accessing full-text
Links and Identifiers

Permanent link to this document: http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aos/1262271617
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1214/09-AOS715
Mathematical Reviews number (MathSciNet): MR2589324

References

Aït-Sahalia, Y. and Jacod, J. (2009). Estimating the degree of activity of jumps in high frequency financial data. Ann. Statist. 37 2202–2244.
Aït-Sahalia, Y. and Jacod, J. (2006). Volatility estimators for discretely sampled Lévy processes. Ann. Statist. 35 355–392.
Belomestny, D. and Reiss, M. (2006). Spectral calibration of exponential Lévy models. Finance Stoch. 10 449–474.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2276314
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1007/s00780-006-0021-5
Belomestny, D. and Spokoiny, V. (2007). Local-likelihood modeling via stage-wise aggregation. Ann. Statist. 35 2287–2311.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2363972
Zentralblatt MATH: 1126.62021
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1214/009053607000000271
Project Euclid: euclid.aos/1194461731
Boyarchenko, S. and Levendorskiĭ, S. (2002). Barrier options and touch-and-out options under regular Lévy processes of exponential type. Ann. Appl. Probab. 12 1261–1298.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1936593
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1214/aoap/1037125863
Project Euclid: euclid.aoap/1037125863
Akgiray, V. and Lamoureux, C. G. (1989). Estimation of stable-law parameters: A comparative study. J. Bus. Econom. Statist. 7 85–93.
Butucea, C. and Tsybakov, A. (2004). Sharp optimality for density deconvolution with dominating bias. Theory Probab. Appl. 52 237–249.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2354572
Cont, R. and Tankov, P. (2004). Nonparametric calibration of jump-diffusion option pricing models. Journal of Computational Finance 7 1–49.
Cont, R. and Tankov, P. (2006). Retrieving Lévy processes from option prices: Regularization of an ill-posed inverse problem. SIAM J. Control Optim. 45 1–25.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2225295
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1137/040616267
Cont, R. and Tankov, P. (2004). Financial Modelling with Jump Processes 535. Chapman & Hall/CRC, Boca Raton.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2042661
DuMouchel, W. H. (1973a). On the asymptotic normality of the maximum-likelihood estimator when sampling from a stable distribution. Ann. Statist. 1 948–957.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR339376
Zentralblatt MATH: 0287.62013
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1214/aos/1176342516
Project Euclid: euclid.aos/1176342516
DuMouchel, W. H. (1973b). Stable distributions in statistical inference. I. Symmetric stable distributions compared to other symmetric long-tailed distributions. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 68 948–957.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR378190
Zentralblatt MATH: 0262.62012
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.2307/2284101
DuMouchel, W. H. (1975). Stable distributions in statistical inference. II. Information from stably distributed samples. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 70 386–393.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR378191
Zentralblatt MATH: 0321.62017
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.2307/2285828
Eberlein, E. (2001). Application of generalized hyperbolic Lévy motions to finance. In: Lévy Processes—Theory and Applications (O. E. Barndorff-Nielsen, T. Mikosch and S. I. Resnick, eds.) 319–336. Birkhäuser Boston, Boston, MA.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1833703
Eberlein, E. and Keller, U. (1995). Hyperbolic distributions in finance. Bernoulli 1 281–299.
Eberlein, E., Keller, U. and Prause, K. (1998). New insights into smile, mispricing and value at risk: The hyperbolic model. J. Bus. 71 371–406.
Eberlein, E. and Prause, K. (1998). The generalized hyperbolic model: Financial derivatives and risk measures. In Mathematical Finance-Bachelier Congress 2000 (H. Geman, D. Madan, S. Pliska and T. Vorst, eds.) 245–267. Springer, Berlin.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1960567
Zentralblatt MATH: 0996.91067
Fenech, A. P. (1976). Asymptotically efficient estimation oflocation for a symmetric stable law. Ann. Statist. 4 1088–1100.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR426260
Zentralblatt MATH: 0349.62023
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1214/aos/1176343644
Project Euclid: euclid.aos/1176343644
Feuerverger, A. and McDunnough, P. (1981a). On the efficiency of empirical characteristic function procedures. J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 43 20–27.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR610372
Feuerverger, A. and McDunnough, P. (1981b). On efficient inference in symmetric stable laws and processes. In Proceedings of the International Symposium on Statistics and Related Topics (M. Csörgő, D. A. Dawson, J. N. K. Rao and A. K. M. E. Saleh, eds.) 109–121. North-Holland, Amsterdam.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR665270
Zentralblatt MATH: 0482.62036
Figueroa-López, E. and Houdré, C. (2006). Risk bounds for the nonparametric estimation of Lévy processes. In High Dimensional Probability IV (E. Gine, V. Kolchinskii, W. Li and J. Zinn, eds.). Institute of Mathematical Statistics Lecture Notes—Monograph Series 51 96–116. IMS, Beachwood, OH.
Gugushvili, S. (2008). Nonparametric estimation of the characteristic triplet of a discretely observed Lévy process. J. Nonparametr. Stat. 21 321–343.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2530929
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1080/10485250802645824
Koutrouvelis, I. A. (1980). Regression-type estimation of the parameters of stable laws. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 75 918–928.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR600977
Zentralblatt MATH: 0449.62026
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.2307/2287182
Lee, S. and Mykland, P. A. (2008). Jumps in financial markets: A new nonparametric test and jump dynamics. Review of Financial Studies. 21 2535–2563.
Neumann, M. and Reiss, M. (2009) Nonparametric estimation for Lévy processes from low-frequency observations. Bernoulli 15 223–248.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2546805
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.3150/08-BEJ148
Project Euclid: euclid.bj/1233669889
Nolan, J. P. (1997). Numerical computation of stable densities and distribution functions. Comm. Statist. Stochastic Models 13 759–774.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1482292
Zentralblatt MATH: 0899.60012
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1080/15326349708807450
Press, S. J. (1972). Estimation in univariate and multivariate stable distributions. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 67 842–846.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR362666
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.2307/2284646
Singleton, K. (2001). Estimation of affine asset pricing models using the empirical characteristic function. J. Econometrics 102 111–141.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1838137
Zentralblatt MATH: 0973.62096
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1016/S0304-4076(00)00092-0
Sato, K. (1999). Levy processes and infinitely divisible distributions. Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1739520
Tsybakov, A. (2008). Introduction to Nonparametric Estimation. Springer, Berlin.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR2013911
Ushakov, N. (1999). Selected topics in characteristic functions. VSP, Utrecht.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1745554
Zentralblatt MATH: 0999.60500
Van der Vaart, A. and Wellner, J. (1996). Weak Convergences and Empirical Processes. Springer, New York.
Mathematical Reviews (MathSciNet): MR1385671
Zentralblatt MATH: 0862.60002

2012 © Institute of Mathematical Statistics

The Annals of Statistics

The Annals of Statistics