On the maximum drawdown of a Brownian motion



Journal of Applied Probability

On the maximum drawdown of a Brownian motion

Malik Magdon-Ismail, Amir F. Atiya, Amrit Pratap, and Yaser S. Abu-Mostafa

Source: J. Appl. Probab. Volume 41, Number 1 (2004), 147-161.

Abstract

The maximum drawdown at time T of a random process on [0,T] can be defined informally as the largest drop from a peak to a trough. In this paper, we investigate the behaviour of this statistic for a Brownian motion with drift. In particular, we give an infinite series representation of its distribution and consider its expected value. When the drift is zero, we give an analytic expression for the expected value, and for nonzero drift, we give an infinite series representation. For all cases, we compute the limiting (T → ∞) behaviour, which can be logarithmic (for positive drift), square root (for zero drift) or linear (for negative drift).

Primary Subjects: 60G50, 60G51
Keywords: Random walk; asymptotic distribution; expected maximum drawdown

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Links and Identifiers

Permanent link to this document: http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.jap/1077134674
Digital Object Identifier: doi:10.1239/jap/1077134674
Mathematical Reviews number (MathSciNet): MR2036278
Zentralblatt MATH identifier: 1051.60083

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